Robert J. Shapiro
St. Martin's Griffin
In Futurecast, Robert Shapiro, former United States Under Secretary of Commerce and Chairman and Co-founder of Sonecon, looks into the future to how the world will be changing in the dozen years between 2008 and 2020. Though that time span seems brief, Shapiro foresees monumental changes caused by three forces—globalization, the aging of societies, and America's role as a sole superpower—will determine the paths of nations and the lives of their citizens. What will the job market look like? What will happen to health care? How safe will people be at home or abroad? Even more so than they do today, the economy, the health system, and an individual's safety will depend on where he or she resides.
According to Shapiro's predictions, the U.S. and China will be the world’s two indispensable economies, dominating the course of globalization. Even as China expands its military and its economy, America will be the world’s sole superpower for at least the next generation, and continue to lead efforts to preserve global security and stability.
Meanwhile, Shapiro says, globalization will continue to shift most heavy manufacturing and millions of high-end service jobs to China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Romania, Turkey and other developing nations. Europe’s major nations and Japan will face the prospect of genuine economic decline and critical problems in their retirement pension systems, moving further towards the periphery of global economic and geopolitical power.
Every major country will face critical problems within their health care systems. The worldwide energy crisis and climate change will continue to create challenges across the globe and the consequences will become increasingly apparent in daily life.
The threat of terrorism, Shapiro warns, will add a wildcard to what is already the most challenging period in modern times. These global developments will impact every nation's plans for the future. Futurecast is a portfolio of information to guide individuals as they prepare for the years to come.
Watch this video to hear Dr. Robert J. Shapiro talk about his book Futurecast at the Bernard Schwartz Forum on Economic Policy on May 5, 2008. Dr. Robert Shapiro, Chair of NDN's Globalization Initiative, and Simon Rosenberg, NDN President, discuss U.S. politics, the economy, globalization, and world affairs at large.
“[Shapiro’s book] is a storm warning at a time when food shortages, higher energy prices and a credit crunch are forcing our heads out of the sand: if readers turn to Futurecast, they will find an argument that gives us a measure of what we should expect from our political leaders - and from ourselves - if we are to continue our civilization on the high plateau we have managed to reach.”--The Financial Times
"Rob Shapiro's prescient and insightful book probes the confluence of challenges that society will face in the coming years. He argues that our world has become increasingly interdependent, and we must foster global cooperation to achieve a sustainable existence with equal opportunity for all. Futurecast is a vital resource for anyone seeking to understand the world our children will inherit."-- President Bill Clinton
"Alarming but challenging. A dense yet well-written overview of the heavy factors that will remake the world. A thorough and gifted analysis."--Management Today
"Entertaining and educational. Shapiro deftly pulls together facts and figures to back up his statements. An illuminating, satisfying read."—Kirkus
How Superpowers, Populations, and Globalization Will Change Your World by the Year 2020
Robert J. Shapiro